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DTN Midday Grain Comments 07/29 10:54
Corn, Soybean, Wheat Futures Lower at Midday
Corn futures are 5 to 6 cents lower at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are 4
to 5 cents lower; wheat futures are 3 to 8 cents lower.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are 5 to 6 cents lower at midday Tuesday; soybean futures are 4
to 5 cents lower; wheat futures are 3 to 8 cents lower. The U.S. stock market
is weaker with the S&P 14 points lower. The U.S. Dollar Index is 36 points
higher. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade is firmer with
crude .80 higher and natural gas .08 higher. Livestock trade is mixed. Precious
metals are firmer with gold 15.00 higher.
CORN:
Corn futures are 5 to 6 cents lower at midday with broad selling across ag
contracts with the September pressing into a fresh low while December has held
so far. Ethanol margins should continue rangebound for now. The forecast looks
to cool off after the early week heat with widespread rain coverage again with
weekly crop progress showing good to excellent at 73% (-1%), and 7% poor to
very poor; 76% silking versus 77% on average; 26% in the dough versus 24% on
average. Basis looks to remain rangebound to softer in the short term. On the
September chart, the 20-day moving average at $4.02 is resistance, with the
fresh low at $3.87 3/4 as support.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are 4 to 5 cents lower at midday with trade testing back to
the lower end of the range as well while product action flattens out. Meal is
1.00 to 2.00 lower and oil is flat to 10 points higher. The forecast looks to
keep sustained stress limited into early podfill season. Weekly crop progress
showed good to excellent 2% better at 70%; 6% poor to very poor; 76% blooming
same as average; 41% setting pods versus 42% on average. Basis will likely
remain flat to soft in the short term. On the September chart, resistance is
the 20-day moving average at $10.07, and the recent low at $9.85 1/4 as support.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are 3 to 8 cents lower at midday with the strong dollar
blunting the winter wheat attempt to challenge nearby resistance yet again
although we have been able to firm off the early lows. Winter wheat harvest is
81% complete, same as average; spring wheat 1% complete versus 3% on average;
92% headed versus 95% on average; 49% good to excellent (-3%); 18% poor to very
poor. MATIF wheat is fading back from the test of resistance seen Monday as
well. On the KC September chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at
$5.27, where we closed Monday, with the lower Bollinger Band at $5.15 as
support.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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